Source: LoanRateUpdate.com
February 22, 2011 (Shirley Allen)
Despite
data indicating otherwise, Fannie Mae is predicting that it expects
housing starts to triple by 2013. According to the agency's economic
outlook, housing starts are predicted to increase 17.3 percent and hit
710,000 this year, with another 47 percent increase to 1.1 million in
2012 and another gain of 42 percent in 2013 to nearly 1.5 million.
However,
based on January's data, their prediction may be a little over
optimistic. Data in January saw housing starts jump 15 percent compared
to December for a total of 596,000 seasonally adjusted units, but
building permits were down 22.4 percent, which is a sign of future
building activity.
The
highlight of the January housing report is the robust 80% gain in
multi-family housing as single-family home construction dropped 1
percent compared to December. Multi-family construction is expected to increase as the housing crisis and tighter lending standards increase the number of renters.
In 2010, there were approximately 587,000 housing starts, that includes single family and multi-family units.
"We expect a small rise in home sales this year, but significant amounts of supply and shadow inventory of expected foreclosures will continue to hamper a robust housing picture for some time," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae's chief economist.
Fannie
Mae projects total sales of new and existing homes to climb 4.5% in
2011 to 5.43 million, following an estimated decline of 6% for 2010 to
about 5.2 million from 5.53 million for 2009. Mortgage originations will drop to $1.04 trillion this year from $1.53 trillion last year. Fannie Mae also expects mortgage rates will increase in 2011, but with rates remaining under 5.5 percent.
The
median new home price in 2011 is expected to drop, as is the median
existing home sale price, down 2.1% to $214,500 and 2.1% to $167,900,
respectively, due to the large amount of competing foreclosures expected
to enter the housing market this year.
Company News
G.W.
Smith will be giving away 1,500 white pine tree seedlings Arbor Day
week to local schools to be planted by students. Any leftover
seedlings will be given away FREE to the general public on Friday, March 18th. Contact Fonda Moser at 336- 249-4941 for inquiries.
First come. First serve.